Frost & Sullivan: COVID-19 to globally dent EV sales
Frost & Sullivan’s recent released market report on- Global Electric Vehicle Market Outlook, 2020. According to this report COVID-19 uncertainty will globally dent electric vehicle sales. The EV sales according to the report will be ±9% in 2020 compared to 2019; under three different scenarios—gradual containment, severe pandemic, and global emergency. In the best-case prospect, it is predicted to experience healthy growth of 8.6% year-on-year (YoY); i.e. 2.5 million unit sales (battery electric vehicles plus plug-in hybrid electric vehicles) globally in 2020.
“EV sales will be driven by the implementation of stringent emission norms. It will be assisted by global policies favoring the adoption of battery electric vehicles (BEVs),” said Prajyot Sathe, Automotive and Transportation Industry Manager at Frost & Sullivan. “Additionally, non-monetary or tax incentives are likely to be more attractive for buyers as countries with the highest EV penetration ratio such as Norway and the Netherlands offer these rather than cash incentives.”
Sathe added: “If BEVs are pushed by original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) on new energy vehicle (NEV) credit mandates, China is set to remain the market leader with a 48.3% share. Further, Europe is expected to have the highest YoY growth of over 10%—availability of models, reduced delivery times and compliance push are major growth factors in the EU.”
To tap into the growth prospects exposed by EV, market participants should focus on the following:
- The introduction of new models will help OEMs increase the percent penetration of EVs.
- A huge number of recyclers and dismantlers will come into play as the first phase of batteries will be available for second life or recycling.
- Charging as a service is an emerging trend. Hence, partnerships will be necessary for traditional participants to compete with start-ups.
- Capitalizing on existing expertise will help component manufacturers sustain the transformation of the industry.
Global Electric Vehicle Market Outlook, 2020 is the latest addition to Frost & Sullivan’s Automotive and Transportation research and analyses available through the Frost & Sullivan Leadership Council, which helps organizations identify a continuous flow of growth opportunities to succeed in an unpredictable future.